12 comments
46 forecasters
Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?
94%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 11, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Mar 1, 2076
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 11, 2024
When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?
Mar 2041
(May 2038 - Nov 2047)
Mar 2041
(May 2038 - Nov 2047)
3 forecasters
When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?
12 forecasters
Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?
28% chance
27