Question
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
Nov 2037
(Dec 2034 - Jun 2043)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Dec 2034 | — |
| median | Nov 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2043 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2050 | 8.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024