Question

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

Resolved:Yes
8
16
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction
99.9%
(99.7% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
87.5
Community Peer Score
17.6
Authors:
Kaleem
Opened:Oct 23, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2024
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