13 forecasters

Will Tiktok be Banned in the US or Sold before January 20, 2025?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 19, 2025

Resolved:

Feb 17, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 22, 2024

🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard

Concerns Grow over Future of TikTok’s Algorithm After Years as a Chinese Psyop

Breitbart•Oct 18, 2025

TikTok: How Joe Biden handed Donald Trump and conservatives a powerful propaganda tool.

Slate•Oct 18, 2025

TikTok insiders and creators worry its powerful algorithm could lose its magic after a sale

Business Insider•Oct 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Yes, still owned by foreign adversary

Yes, non-adversary owner

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