59 forecasters

Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025?

7.9%chance

7.9%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 8% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 16, 2024

Closes:

Nov 8, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 19, 2024

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Nuclear Technology & Risks

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