4 forecasters

What will be RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election?

community

-0.0731

result

-3.053

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 21, 2024

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolved:

Feb 12, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 24, 2024

🏆 2024 Leaderboard

Nation's only two 2025 races for governor rocked with three weeks until Election Day

FOX News•Oct 14, 2025

Trump Approval Rating Dips To Record Low Amid Shutdown

Forbes•Oct 14, 2025

Can Republicans turn out Trump voters when he isn't on the ballot? They'll find out in New Jersey

NBC•Oct 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch