Question

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters120

Community Prediction

(3.3% - 9%)

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50%

community: 5%

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Authors:

EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Oct 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 3, 2024

Verity

Law

Artificial Intelligence

2024-2025 Leaderboard

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0.1%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

65%