Question

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

10 comments10

23 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 22

Low

Moderate (or medium or equivalent)

High (or above, such as Very High)

Make a Prediction

		My Prediction		Me
Low	88.1%

Moderate (or medium or equivalent)	10%

High (or above, such as Very High)	2%

Total: ?

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 24, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2024

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

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0.914