Question
When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?
Resolved:23 Nov 2024Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
25 Nov 2024
(23 Nov 2024 - 07 Dec 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 23 Nov 2024 | — |
| median | 25 Nov 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 07 Dec 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >27 Apr 2025 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?23 Nov 2024
Community Baseline Score
28.3
Community Peer Score
12.6
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2024
Closes:Apr 26, 2025
Resolves:May 26, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 5, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2024
Closes:Apr 26, 2025
Resolves:May 26, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 5, 2024