🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Between 23 May 2019 and 30 July 2019, will the Spanish monarch appoint a President of the Government?

Resolved :No1%
5
12
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction1% (1% - 6%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
22.4
Community Peer Score
1.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
datscilly
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2019 Leaderboard
Monarchy of Spain
President of the government
Constitution of Spain
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
Congress of Deputies
Spain

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