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6
79
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79 forecasters
Elections
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Will Election Betting Odds report a >60% chance of a Trump 2020 presidential election victory by November 30, 2019?
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2 comments
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Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%
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Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
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Will Trump declare a national emergency re election integrity?
25%
chance
5 comments
200 forecasters
What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?
Current estimate
-16.9
4 comments
755 forecasters
Trump's approval on Dec 31, 2026?
Current estimate
-18.8%
3 comments
44 forecasters
US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?
41.5%
chance
4 comments
4 forecasters
Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner
60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%
0 comments
15 forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on June 14, 2026?
Current estimate
38.4%