6 comments
79 forecasters
Will Election Betting Odds report a >60% chance of a Trump 2020 presidential election victory by November 30, 2019?
13%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 13% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2019
Closes:Sep 22, 2019
Resolved:Nov 30, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 9, 2019
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
44 forecasters
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
71% chance
999