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2 comments
20 forecasters

What percent of U.S. remote workers will delegate complex (>1hr independent tasks) to AI systems at least 3 times per week in the year 2030?

Latest estimate
84
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
nor
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closed:Nov 21, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
Threshold 2030 Econ Forecasting
Economy & Business
Artificial Intelligence
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What will be the percentage of employed persons working at home on an average day in 2030?

34.8%
(29.8 - 40.2)
34.8%
(29.8 - 40.2)
27 forecasters

What percentage of the US workforce will be in computer specialist roles in 2050?

2.16%
(0.506 - 4.5)
2.16%
(0.506 - 4.5)
18 forecasters

Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?

28% chance
2
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