2 comments
20 forecasters
What percent of U.S. remote workers will delegate complex (>1hr independent tasks) to AI systems at least 3 times per week in the year 2030?
Latest estimate
84
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closed:Nov 21, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
What will be the percentage of employed persons working at home on an average day in 2030?
34.8%
(29.8 - 40.2)
34.8%
(29.8 - 40.2)
27 forecasters
What percentage of the US workforce will be in computer specialist roles in 2050?
2.16%
(0.506 - 4.5)
2.16%
(0.506 - 4.5)
18 forecasters
Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?
28% chance
2