142 forecasters

Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?

0.3%chance

0.7 pp this week

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 10, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 14, 2024

Economy & Business

🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard

Google willing to share digital ad data with publishers to address monopoly, executive testifies

New York Post•Oct 1, 2025

A break up could plummet open web display advertising.

Verge•Oct 1, 2025

The government wants an “extremely onerous” break up, witness alleges.

Verge•Sep 30, 2025

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