Question

Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters95

Community Prediction

(1% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

Nov 10, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 14, 2024

2024-2025 Leaderboard

UK regulators may force Google to open search engine to more competition as AI threat grows

New York Post•Jun 24, 2025

UK may require Google to give users alternative search options and rank its results ‘more fairly’

TechCrunch•Jun 24, 2025

Google may have to make changes to UK search engine, says watchdog

Independent•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Will the Indian government ban Youtube before July 2030?

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

10%