16 comments
111 forecasters
Will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to implant a brain-machine interface device in a human before 1 January 2022?
43%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 43% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2019
Closes:May 31, 2020
Resolved:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2019