Question

Will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to implant a brain-machine interface device in a human before 1 January 2022?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters111
Community Prediction
43%
(33% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 43%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
23.6
Community Peer Score
18.2
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2019
Closes:May 31, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2019