Question

How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024?

3
30
51 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 50

Make a Prediction

Me
Resolved12-15
99.5%
0-3
0.1%
4-5
0.1%
6-7
0.1%
8-9
0.1%
10-11
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?12-15

Community Baseline Score
31.6
Community Peer Score
7.2
Authors:
Opened:Nov 7, 2024
Closes:Dec 15, 2024
Resolves:Dec 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 10, 2024