Question
When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?
Total Forecasters165
Community Prediction
Apr 2037
(14 Apr 2030 - >Dec 2040)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Jul 2019 | 0.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 14 Apr 2030 | — |
| median | Apr 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | >Dec 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2040 | 39.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2019
