47 comments
80 forecasters
When will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolved:Sep 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 26, 2019
Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?
0.1% chance
111
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
06 Nov 2028
(28 Jan 2027 - 11 Apr 2030)
06 Nov 2028
(28 Jan 2027 - 11 Apr 2030)
15 forecasters
Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
13% chance
91