Question
When will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Resolved:06 Sep 2022 08:00Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction
08 Jan 2024
(03 Jan 2022 - 15 Mar 2026)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 03 Jan 2022 | — |
| median | 08 Jan 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 15 Mar 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2030 | 4.1% | — |
What was the final result?06 Sep 2022 08:00
Community Baseline Score
3.7
Community Peer Score
21.5
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolves:Sep 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 26, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolves:Sep 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 26, 2019