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55 forecasters

9

55 forecasters

Short Fuse: Will more than 1000 protesters be arrested in Moscow on the 3rd of August 2019?

Ambiguous

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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6 comments34 forecasters

Russia uprising in fall 2026?

1 comment78 forecasters

Will Russia order a general mobilization before January 1, 2027?

17 comments154 forecasters

Russia's Democratisation post-Putin

201 comments2.5k forecasters

Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

11 comments133 forecasters

Number of large US MSAs with non-routine military deployment by Nov 2, 2026?

Current estimate

5.23 metro areas

8 comments19 forecasters

>10,000 GPU cluster in Russia by 2027?

32 comments53 forecasters

Putin's successor

Mikhail Mishustin10.6%

Nikolai Patrushev5%

Dmitry Medvedev4%

Alexander Bortnikov2%

23 comments174 forecasters

Russian Territory Loss >20% by 2028