Question

Will a US Bitcoin strategic reserve be announced before 20 January 2029?

Resolved:Yes

16 comments16

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction

90%

(75% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

3.1

Community Peer Score

1.5

Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Nov 14, 2024

Closes:

Jan 20, 2029

Resolves:

Jan 20, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 17, 2024

Politics

Economy & Business

Cryptocurrencies

A False Start on the Road to an All-American Bitcoin

Wired•Jun 20, 2025

Not just $Trump: Several top administration officials have put their money into crypto

Business Insider•Jun 20, 2025

The U.S. And The Future Of DeFi

Forbes•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10%

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

65%

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

30%

Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Nov 14, 2024

Closes:

Jan 20, 2029

Resolves:

Jan 20, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 17, 2024

Politics

Economy & Business

Cryptocurrencies

A False Start on the Road to an All-American Bitcoin

Wired•Jun 20, 2025

Not just $Trump: Several top administration officials have put their money into crypto

Business Insider•Jun 20, 2025

The U.S. And The Future Of DeFi

Forbes•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10%

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

65%

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

30%