Question
Will a bilateral ceasefire be announced in the Ukraine war, before April 19, 2025?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters124
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 0.3%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
25.9
Community Baseline Score
74.0
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2024
Closes:Apr 18, 2025
Resolves:Apr 19, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
15%
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
68%
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2024
Closes:Apr 18, 2025
Resolves:Apr 19, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
15%
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
68%