Question

Will the number of active US oil drilling rigs be less than 585 on November 29, 2024?

Resolved:Annulled

51 comments51

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction

55%

(28.5% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Nov 8, 2024

Closes:

Nov 9, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 30, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 9, 2024

Question Weight:50%

Include Bots:Yes

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

33%

Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?

51%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Nov 8, 2024

Closes:

Nov 9, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 30, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 9, 2024

Question Weight:50%

Include Bots:Yes

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

33%

Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?

51%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%