58 forecasters

Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections?

Social Democratic Allianceresult: Yes

No prime minister24.9%

Independence Party0.1%

Forecast Timeline

Social Democratic Alliance

No prime minister

Independence Party

Others (3)

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 9, 2024

Closes:

Dec 14, 2024

Resolved:

Dec 21, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 12, 2024

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Who could replace Shigeru Ishiba as Japan’s prime minister?

Independent•Sep 9, 2025

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