Question

Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections?

4
27
58 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 53

Make a Prediction

Me
ResolvedSocial Democratic Alliance
74.7%
Independence Party
0.1%
Progressive Party
0.1%
Left-Green Movement
0.1%
Other party
0.1%
No prime minister
24.9%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Social Democratic Alliance

Community Baseline Score
34.4
Community Peer Score
19.9
Authors:
Opened:Nov 9, 2024
Closes:Dec 14, 2024
Resolves:Dec 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2024