26 comments
28 forecasters
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?
0.4%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
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Opened:Nov 14, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2025
Resolved:Jul 19, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 16, 2024
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
54
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40% chance
65
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
1% chance
226