Question
By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
0.953%
(-5.03% - >50%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<-50% | 0.1% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | -5.027% | — |
median | 0.953% | — |
upper 75% | >50% | — |
Upper bound | ||
>50% | 25.1% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2024