Question

By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?

Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
0.953%
(-5.03% - >50%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<-50%0.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%-5.027%
median0.953%
upper 75%>50%
Upper bound
>50%25.1%
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Opened:Nov 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2024