Question
By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?
Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
-1.47%
(-5.87% - 2.34%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-50% | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -5.869% | — |
| median | -1.47% | — |
| upper 75% | 2.338% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50% | 0.1% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2024