Question

Will the US start the process of withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement before January 1, 2026?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
99%
(80% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
19.3
Community Peer Score
1.7
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2024