16 comments
72 forecasters
When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Aug 19, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2019
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
Mar 2032
(30 Sep 2028 - Mar 2038)
Mar 2032
(30 Sep 2028 - Mar 2038)
46 forecasters
When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?
Nov 2047
(Jul 2037 - Sep 2061)
Nov 2047
(Jul 2037 - Sep 2061)
12 forecasters
When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2028 - May 2043)
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2028 - May 2043)
38 forecasters