Question

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
Jan 2034
(26 Apr 2029 - Jun 2039)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%26 Apr 2029
medianJan 2034
upper 75%Jun 2039
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 19, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2019