Question
When will a referendum on Quebec independence take place?
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
01 Sep 2028
(06 Dec 2027 - Jan 2033)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <05 Nov 2026 | 2.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 06 Dec 2027 | — |
| median | 01 Sep 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2033 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 19.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 30, 2024