Question

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

Resolved:Yes

10 comments10

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction

99.9%

(99.3% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

36.9

Community Peer Score

3.4

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Dec 1, 2024

Closes:

Feb 26, 2025

Resolves:

May 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 4, 2024

Social Sciences

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