Question
What will be Donald Trump's net favorability rating on December 27, 2024?
Resolved:-1.072Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction
-1.22
(-1.77 - -0.661)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-10 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -1.768 | — |
| median | -1.219 | — |
| upper 75% | -0.6608 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >0 | 10.3% | — |
What was the final result?-1.072
Community Baseline Score
37.1
Community Peer Score
38.3
Authors:
Opened:Nov 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 26, 2024
Resolves:Dec 29, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 4, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 26, 2024
Resolves:Dec 29, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 4, 2024
