Question

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

Resolved:Yes

11 comments11

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

99.2%

(98.6% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.2%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

65.8

Community Peer Score

18.3

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Nov 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 4, 2024

🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

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