94 forecasters

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

99.2%chance

99.2%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 4, 2024

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