14 comments
53 forecasters
Will New Delhi experience a "Hazardous" air quality index for at least one third of the last two weeks of December 2024?
99.9%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 6, 2024
Closes:Dec 25, 2024
Resolved:Dec 20, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024
Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?
35% chance
32
Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?
74% chance
25
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85% chance
21