70 forecasters

Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026?

1%chance

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 4, 2024

Closes:

Dec 2, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 8, 2024

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Elon Musk has nearly recovered the billions in wealth he lost earlier this year

Business Insider•Sep 16, 2025

Musk, Ellison, Zuck Worth $1 Trillion, Rival Buffett's Berkshire Value

Business Insider•Sep 15, 2025

How Larry Ellison (Briefly) Became the World’s Richest Person

Bloomberg•Sep 13, 2025

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