45 forecasters

Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026?

0.5%chance

Top Key Factors

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 4, 2024

Closes:

Dec 2, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 8, 2024

Economy & Business

🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard

Forget the $100B Club, There Are Now 6 People Worth Over $200B

Business Insider•Oct 31, 2025

Musk Again Valued At $500 Billion—Still Only Person Ever

Forbes•Oct 29, 2025

10 Richest People Are $500B Wealthier This Year Thanks to AI Boom

Business Insider•Oct 29, 2025

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