• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
4
20 forecasters
3
4 comments
20 forecasters
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
condition

New French PM before Jan 1, 2025?

Resolved:Yes
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

CAC 40 price on Dec 31, 2024?

7414
Resolved:7380.74

CAC 40 price on Dec 31, 2024?

7399
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes77.8%
if No73.2%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
4 comments32 forecasters

Will France officially announce a 6th Republic before June 2027?

5%chance
46 comments280 forecasters

Macron no longer President before 2027?

1.5%chance
4 comments18 forecasters

When will France transition to a Sixth Republic?

Current estimate
Nov 2033
2 comments27 forecasters

S&P 500 Closing Values?

12 comments212 forecasters

Trump closes NYSE or NASDAQ before January 20, 2029?

5%chance
3 comments44 forecasters

US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?

41.5%chance
2 comments45 forecasters

Euro gains vs dollar in 2026?

55%chance
9 comments85 forecasters

Country leaving the EU by 2030?

4%chance