Question
When will a cabinet-level nomination by Donald Trump be first confirmed by the Senate in 2025?
Resolved:20 Jan 2025 23:35Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
21 Jan 2025 02:48
(20 Jan 2025 21:34 - 21 Jan 2025 14:28)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 20 Jan 2025 21:34 | — |
| median | 21 Jan 2025 02:48 | — |
| upper 75% | 21 Jan 2025 14:28 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Apr 2025 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?20 Jan 2025 23:35
Community Baseline Score
85.7
Community Peer Score
32.5
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2024
Closes:Mar 20, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2024
Closes:Mar 20, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2024