39 forecasters

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

68%chance

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 17, 2024

Closes:

Dec 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2028

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 21, 2024

Javier Milei is struggling

Spectator (UK)•Sep 13, 2025

Argentina’s Milei reopens ministry, restarts dialogue with opposition after electoral defeat

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

Milei’s Big Loss in Buenos Aires Offers a Teachable Moment

Bloomberg•Sep 9, 2025

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