45 forecasters

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

55%chance

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 17, 2024

Closes:

Dec 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2028

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 21, 2024

Javier Milei Cruises to Election Victory, Sends New Appeal to Moderates

Red State•Oct 27, 2025

Argentinian president wins critical midterm elections

NPR Online News•Oct 27, 2025

Far-Right President Milei’s Party Wins Decisive Victory in Argentina’s Midterm Elections

Democracy Now•Oct 27, 2025

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