81 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1%chance

1.8 pp this week

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 12, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 14, 2024

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