Question

Will the value of China's CSI 300 stock index at market close on December 31st, 2024 be less than or equal to 3,900?

Resolved:No

54 comments54

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction

48%

(20% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

1.3

Community Baseline Score

14.5

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Dec 13, 2024

Closes:

Dec 14, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 14, 2024

Question Weight:50%

Include Bots:Yes

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

CNBC's The China Connection newsletter: From gamblers to investors?

CNBC•Aug 27, 2025

Chinese households have amassed record savings. That's now fueling a stock market boom

CNBC•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Dec 13, 2024

Closes:

Dec 14, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 14, 2024

Question Weight:50%

Include Bots:Yes

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

CNBC's The China Connection newsletter: From gamblers to investors?

CNBC•Aug 27, 2025

Chinese households have amassed record savings. That's now fueling a stock market boom

CNBC•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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