8 comments
50 forecasters
When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours?
Latest estimate
>15 Sep 2025 00:00
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2019
Closed:Sep 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2019
Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work before 2035?
5% chance
117
Will Bitcoin’s price drop below 50% of its highest recorded price at any point before 2040?
90% chance
30
When will Bitcoin lose its position as market dominant cryptocurrency?
Aug 2039
(Feb 2031 - >Sep 2050)
Aug 2039
(Feb 2031 - >Sep 2050)
142 forecasters