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31
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122
forecasters
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?
5%
chance
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Authors:
Perspectus
Opened:
Dec 31, 2024
Closes:
Dec 10, 2028
Scheduled resolution:
Dec 10, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:
Jan 4, 2025
Politics
Geopolitics
News Match
Trade deals, pageantry and nukes: 7 takeaways from Trump's trip to Asia
USA Today
•
Oct 30, 2025
Dear Donald Trump, here’s how you can win that Nobel peace prize | Mehdi Hasan
Guardian
•
Oct 29, 2025
A strong handshake and another Nobel Prize nod for Trump in Japan
USA Today
•
Oct 29, 2025
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