25 comments
117 forecasters
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?
0.1%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2024
Closes:Dec 10, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Dec 10, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 4, 2025
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
65% chance
107
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
24% chance
50
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?
30% chance
22