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7
25 forecasters
7 comments
25 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2026?

Resolved:No
25 forecasters
if yes
if no

10,000+ H5 Avian Influenza Cases in US End of 2025?

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled

10,000+ H5 Avian Influenza Cases in US End of 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
if Yes5%
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2 comments17 forecasters

When 500k H5Nx Influenza Cases?

Current estimate
Jun 2032
2 comments96 forecasters

Will Bird Flu be declared a PHEIC before 2030?

53%chance
1 comment18 forecasters

H5N1 pandemic before 2030

29%chance
12 comments25 forecasters

Will there be a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

5%chance
2 comments21 forecasters

WHO announce non-H5N1 Pandemic in 2030

18%chance
1 comment9 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?

50%chance
11 comments28 forecasters

US acquired NWS infection before 2027?

25%chance
2 comments166 forecasters

Synth-bio GC to cause (near) extinction?

7%chance