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18
79
forecasters
14
18 comments
79 forecasters
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Will Oregon vote to legalize medical use of Psilocybin in 2020?
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Yes
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4.41 states
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Current estimate
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20%
chance
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40%
chance
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Psilocybin not schedule I < 2036
75%
chance
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90%
chance
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Will Missouri's 2026 Amendment 3 pass?
38.1%
chance
16 comments
30 forecasters
Countries that decriminalize Schedule I drugs by 2070?
Current estimate
59.2 countries