29 comments
44 forecasters
Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?
60%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:May 1, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?
48% chance
39
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
7.08
(6.26 - 7.69)
7.08
(6.26 - 7.69)
55 forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
7.23
(6.88 - 7.6)
7.23
(6.88 - 7.6)
92 forecasters