Question

Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?

Resolved:Yes

13 comments13

Total Forecasters848

Community Prediction

65%

(49.1% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-0.1

Community Peer Score

1.9

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

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Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

80%

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

63%