45 comments
1.4k forecasters
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
9%chance
5 pp this week
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 19, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
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What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?
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419k people
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33 forecasters
Will the US establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before January 3, 2027?
40% chance
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How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?
30 forecasters