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13
952
forecasters
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13 comments
952 forecasters
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
3 more...
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
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16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%
0 comments
6 forecasters
What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
4 comments
27 forecasters
Dem House before 2027?
10.6%
chance
3 comments
44 forecasters
US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?
41.5%
chance
2 comments
11 forecasters
Polymarket "Holding Rewards" falls below 4% before 2028?
50%
chance