8 comments
985 forecasters
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
65%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 24, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
7 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
163 forecasters
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k