Question
When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?
Resolved:13 Jun 2025 03:00Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
30 Jun 2025
(14 Jun 2025 15:19 - >31 Dec 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Jun 2025 15:19 | — |
| median | 30 Jun 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2025 | 26.1% | — |
What was the final result?13 Jun 2025 03:00
Community Baseline Score
-6.2
Community Peer Score
23.1
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025
